Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
bet365 Stadium
Stoke1 - 2Derby
We said: Stoke City 1-1 Derby County
Regardless of the three-day turnaround, Derby should only benefit from taking on a team without match practice. All things considered, however, everything points to this contest ending in a low-scoring draw, a result which would not suit either club. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.91%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 24.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Derby County |
| 47.91% | 27.98% | 24.11% |
| Both teams to score 42.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.96% | 62.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.24% | 81.76% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% | 26.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.86% | 61.14% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.9% | 42.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.47% | 78.52% |
| Score Analysis |
Stoke City 47.9%
Derby County 24.11%
Draw 27.97%
| Stoke City | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 14.75% 2-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 8.58% 3-0 @ 4.44% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.93% Total : 47.9% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 3.71% Other @ 0.52% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 9.5% 1-2 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 4.11% 1-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.19% 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.13% Total : 24.11% |
How you voted: Stoke vs Derby
Stoke City
57.6%Draw
26.3%Derby County
16.2%99
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
