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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Dean Court
Derby logo

Bournemouth
2 - 0
Derby

Solanke (45+5'), Lowe (90')
Stacey (45+1'), Cantwell (63'), Christie (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morrison (69'), Davies (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Bournemouth 2-1 Derby County

After two games without a win, we expect a response from Bournemouth in this match and are predicting the Cherries to triumph. If we have learned anything this season it is to not write off Derby, but it seems a big ask for the Rams to get something in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 71.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 10.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bournemouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bournemouth.

Result
BournemouthDrawDerby County
71.64%18.09%10.27%
Both teams to score 43.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.95%46.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65%68.35%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.49%11.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.61%36.39%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.13%50.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.75%85.25%
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 71.62%
    Derby County 10.27%
    Draw 18.09%
BournemouthDrawDerby County
2-0 @ 13.68%
1-0 @ 12.65%
3-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-1 @ 6.67%
4-0 @ 5.33%
4-1 @ 3.6%
5-0 @ 2.31%
3-2 @ 2.25%
5-1 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 71.62%
1-1 @ 8.56%
0-0 @ 5.86%
2-2 @ 3.13%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 18.09%
0-1 @ 3.96%
1-2 @ 2.89%
0-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 10.27%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Derby

Bournemouth
63.8%
Draw
15.5%
Derby County
20.7%
58
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2021 12pm
Derby
3-2
Bournemouth
Knight (13'), Lawrence (62', 69' pen.)
Anthony (19'), Solanke (38')
Billing (54')
Jan 19, 2021 6pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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