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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Dean Court
Derby logo

Bournemouth
2 - 0
Derby

Solanke (45+5'), Lowe (90')
Stacey (45+1'), Cantwell (63'), Christie (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morrison (69'), Davies (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Bournemouth 2-1 Derby County

After two games without a win, we expect a response from Bournemouth in this match and are predicting the Cherries to triumph. If we have learned anything this season it is to not write off Derby, but it seems a big ask for the Rams to get something in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 71.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 10.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bournemouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bournemouth.

Result
BournemouthDrawDerby County
71.64%18.09%10.27%
Both teams to score 43.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.95%46.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65%68.35%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.49%11.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.61%36.39%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.13%50.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.75%85.25%
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 71.62%
    Derby County 10.27%
    Draw 18.09%
BournemouthDrawDerby County
2-0 @ 13.68%
1-0 @ 12.65%
3-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-1 @ 6.67%
4-0 @ 5.33%
4-1 @ 3.6%
5-0 @ 2.31%
3-2 @ 2.25%
5-1 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 71.62%
1-1 @ 8.56%
0-0 @ 5.86%
2-2 @ 3.13%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 18.09%
0-1 @ 3.96%
1-2 @ 2.89%
0-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 10.27%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Derby

Bournemouth
63.8%
Draw
15.5%
Derby County
20.7%
58
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2021 12pm
Derby
3-2
Bournemouth
Knight (13'), Lawrence (62', 69' pen.)
Anthony (19'), Solanke (38')
Billing (54')
Jan 19, 2021 6pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom6510102816
2Sunderland6501134915
3Burnley6411134913
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn6330126612
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd642093612
6Leeds UnitedLeeds632194511
7Swansea CitySwansea631274310
8Watford6312109110
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd630310829
10Derby CountyDerby63038719
11Norwich CityNorwich62228718
12Middlesbrough62226518
13Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
14Bristol City6222812-48
15Queens Park RangersQPR614189-17
16Luton TownLuton7214611-57
17Hull City613257-26
18Stoke CityStoke620449-56
19Millwall61239905
20Coventry CityCoventry612368-25
21Preston North EndPreston612339-65
22Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds6114612-64
23Portsmouth6033713-63
24Cardiff CityCardiff6015113-121


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