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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Dean Court
Birmingham logo

Bournemouth
3 - 1
Birmingham

Christie (17'), Solanke (31'), Anthony (76')
Lerma (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hernandez (69')
Gardner (20'), Pedersen (34'), Graham (47'), Hernandez (69'), Sunjic (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bournemouth 2-1 Birmingham City

Although Bournemouth's form has dipped in recent weeks, we think that they should have enough quality in their squad to claim a victory over a Birmingham side that tend to struggle on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 69.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 11.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawBirmingham City
69.86%18.54%11.6%
Both teams to score 46.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.57%44.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.2%66.8%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.47%11.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.56%36.44%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.64%47.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.24%82.76%
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 69.85%
    Birmingham City 11.6%
    Draw 18.54%
BournemouthDrawBirmingham City
2-0 @ 12.74%
1-0 @ 11.79%
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 9.18%
3-1 @ 6.86%
4-0 @ 4.96%
4-1 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 2.56%
5-0 @ 2.14%
5-1 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 69.85%
1-1 @ 8.82%
0-0 @ 5.46%
2-2 @ 3.56%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 18.54%
0-1 @ 4.08%
1-2 @ 3.3%
0-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 11.6%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Birmingham

Bournemouth
88.3%
Draw
5.2%
Birmingham City
6.5%
77
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 28
Bournemouth
3-2
Birmingham
Danjuma (36'), Wilshere (61'), Billing (77')
Billing (79')
Hogan (27', 68')
Friend (83'), Gardner (90+2')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 11
Birmingham
1-3
Bournemouth
Hogan (55')
San Jose (67'), Jutkiewicz (81')
Danjuma (9'), Brooks (42', 50')
Stanislas (72')
Aug 22, 2017 7.45pm
Second Round
Birmingham
1-2
Bournemouth
Kieftenbeld (11')
Maghoma (56'), Shotton (62')
Fraser (46'), Pugh (68')
Mousset (41'), Smith (95')
Jan 9, 2016 3pm
Third Round
Birmingham
1-2
Bournemouth
Morrison (40')
Morrison (45')
Tomlin (44' pen.), Murray (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
10Swansea CitySwansea631274310
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Millwall7223121028
15Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
16Bristol City6222812-48
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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