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Seattle Sounders
Major League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024 at 3.30am UK
CenturyLink Field
Houston Dynamo

Seattle
1 - 0
Houston

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dorsey (28'), Escobar (50'), Carrasquilla (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 2-2 Earthquakes
Thursday, September 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 0-1 Houston
Sunday, September 22 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Seattle Sounders 2-2 Houston Dynamo

While Seattle Sounders have picked up in recent weeks, Houston Dynamo have been flying for longer, and this is why we think that the visitors have what it takes to secure at least a draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawHouston Dynamo
50.09% (0.047000000000004 0.05) 23.46% (0.028000000000002 0.03) 26.45% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 58.23% (-0.152 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.09% (-0.172 -0.17)42.91% (0.175 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.69% (-0.172 -0.17)65.31% (0.17400000000001 0.17)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)17.24% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.45% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)47.55% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.36% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)29.64% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.32% (-0.176 -0.18)65.68% (0.179 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 50.09%
    Houston Dynamo 26.45%
    Draw 23.46%
Seattle SoundersDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.055 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.63% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 50.09%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.22% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 26.45%

How you voted: Seattle vs Houston

Seattle Sounders
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Houston Dynamo
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Jun 20, 2024 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Seattle
Blessing (30', 40')
Ibrahim (6'), Raines (89'), Steres (90+3')
Rothrock (58'), Ragen (63')
Ruidiaz (90+4')
Jul 2, 2023 3.30am
Seattle
1-0
Houston
Rusnak (67')
Cissoko (18'), Baker (54')

Olsen (19'), Micael (61'), Caicedo (89'), Sviatchenko (90+5')
May 14, 2023 1.30am
May 19, 2022 1.30am
Houston
0-1
Seattle
Carrasquilla (11'), Ceren (90')
Carrasquilla (54')
Rowe (47'), Roldan (79')
Roldan (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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