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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Real Salt Lake

Houston
4 - 1
Salt Lake

Bassi (27'), Dorsey (45+3'), Kowalczyk (75'), Ponce (81')
Steres (24'), Ponce (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sviatchenko (49' og.)
Arango (31'), Katranis (63'), Glad (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 0-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-0 New England
Sunday, September 1 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 2-1 Real Salt Lake

The last seven meetings between Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake have produced a combined 22 goals and we expect another end-to-end affair at the Shell Energy Stadium this weekend. Olsen's men boast a dominant home record against the Clarets and Cobalt and we are backing them to come away with the desired result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 56.48%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 22.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 1-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawReal Salt Lake
56.48% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 21.38% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 22.14% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 60.49% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.35% (-0.112 -0.11)37.66% (0.115 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.11% (-0.121 -0.12)59.89% (0.125 0.13)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.75% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)13.25% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.97% (-0.125 -0.13)40.03% (0.128 0.13)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)30.27% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)66.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 56.48%
    Real Salt Lake 22.14%
    Draw 21.38%
Houston DynamoDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.79% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.35% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 56.48%
1-1 @ 9.69% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.01% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.38%
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.79% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.86% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 22.14%

How you voted: Houston vs Salt Lake

Houston Dynamo
63.6%
Draw
27.3%
Real Salt Lake
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2024 2am
Group Stage
Houston
3-0
Salt Lake
Herrera (7'), Micael (24'), Glad (42' og.)
Ponce (62')
Jul 4, 2024 2.30am
Salt Lake
3-2
Houston
Gomez (22'), Luna (42'), Ojeda (67')
Ojeda (77'), Eneli (90+2')
Ibrahim (8'), Brody (55' og.)
Blessing (5'), Escobar (90+2')
Nov 11, 2023 11pm
Houston
1-1
Salt Lake
(Aggregate 1-1 | Houston win 4-3 on penalties)
Baird (28')
Baird (20')
Luna (65')
Savarino (46'), Arango (66'), Vera (72')
Nov 7, 2023 2am
Salt Lake
1-1
Houston
(Aggregate 1-1 | Salt Lake win 5-4 on penalties)
Savarino (70')
Glad (27'), Ojeda (33'), Vera (52')
Bassi (28')
Clark (16'), Bassi (17'), Dorsey (48'), Carrasquilla (69'), Sviatchenko (71')
Oct 29, 2023 10pm
Houston
2-1
Salt Lake
Herrera (22'), Bassi (79')
Escobar (90+5'), Carrasquilla (90+7')
Luna (54')
Oviedo (44'), Julio (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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