MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 08:50:40| >> :60:84:84:
Leagues Cup | Round of 32
Aug 10, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Houston Dynamo

Toluca
2 - 2
Houston

Angulo (39' og.), Lopez (90+6')
Gallardo (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ponce (41'), Micael (62')
Artur (87')
Toluca win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Leagues Cup clash between Toluca and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 2-1 Kansas
Tuesday, August 6 at 2am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Houston 3-0 Salt Lake
Tuesday, August 6 at 2am in Leagues Cup

We said: Toluca 1-3 Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo were slow to kickstart their cup journey but will know that any further underwhelming displays from here on out could lead to an exit from the competition. We expect them to up the ante in Saturday's contest and claim a relatively routine win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 56.69%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 1-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%).

Result
TolucaDrawHouston Dynamo
56.69% (-1.433 -1.43) 21.27% (0.662 0.66) 22.03% (0.773 0.77)
Both teams to score 60.71% (-1.252 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.71% (-2.151 -2.15)37.29% (2.152 2.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.5% (-2.356 -2.36)59.5% (2.357 2.36)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.93% (-1.103 -1.1)13.07% (1.103 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.34% (-2.292 -2.29)39.66% (2.294 2.29)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.84% (-0.548 -0.55)30.16% (0.549 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.69% (-0.662 -0.66)66.31% (0.663 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 56.69%
    Houston Dynamo 22.03%
    Draw 21.27%
TolucaDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.16% (0.175 0.18)
1-0 @ 8.02% (0.498 0.5)
3-1 @ 6.64% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.209 -0.21)
4-1 @ 3.38% (-0.276 -0.28)
4-0 @ 2.82% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.198 -0.2)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.177 -0.18)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 56.69%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.459 0.46)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.94% (0.399 0.4)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.27%
1-2 @ 5.76% (0.191 0.19)
0-1 @ 4.72% (0.413 0.41)
0-2 @ 2.83% (0.208 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 22.03%

How you voted: Toluca vs Houston

Toluca
37.5%
Draw
6.3%
Houston Dynamo
56.3%
16
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!