Houston

3 - 0

Salt Lake

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 59.06%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 20.87% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 3-1 (7.05%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.