Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
Salt Lake3 - 2Houston
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 23 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, June 23 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
40
Last Game: Houston 1-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, June 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, June 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
27
We said: Real Salt Lake 3-1 Houston Dynamo
The teams boast similar defensive numbers heading into this one, but Real Salt Lake have been vastly superior at the top end of the pitch, and we are backing them to emerge victorious at the sound of the final whistle here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.15%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
55.15% ( 0.01) | 22.25% ( -0) | 22.6% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 58.05% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
