Major League Soccer

Jun 2, 2024 at 2.30am UK

Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Salt Lake
5 - 1
Austin

Arango (16', 45+5', 71' pen.), Julio (24', 31')
Palacio (82'), Vera (84')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Ring (90+2' pen.)
Pereira (45+1'), Ring (54'), Biro (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Salt Lake
Thursday, May 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 0-2 Portland
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Real Salt Lake 3-1 Austin FC

Real Salt Lake have scored the most goals in the division so far and will back themselves to enjoy another field day in front of goal here. We are tipping the home side to run out comfortable winners at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 15.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt Lake	Draw	Austin FC
64.51% ( 0.47)	20.43% ( -0.15)	15.06% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 50.17% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.19% (

0.03)

44.81% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.84% (

0.03)

67.17% (

-0.02)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.86% (

0.15)

13.15% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.18% (

0.29)

39.82% (

-0.29)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.76% (

-0.41)

42.24% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.36% (

-0.36)

78.64% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Real Salt Lake 64.51%

Austin FC 15.06%

Draw 20.43%

Real Salt Lake	Draw	Austin FC
2-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.98% Total : 64.51%	1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.92% Total : 20.43%	0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.61% Total : 15.06%