Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 62.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 17.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 1-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.