Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 48.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 25.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.