Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.