Houston1 - 0Portland
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, March 12 at 10pm in CONCACAF Champions League
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
We said: Houston Dynamo 2-1 Portland Timbers
Despite failing to pick up a victory so far this season, Houston have been competitive in each fixture, and we feel that a maiden success for the Dynamo is just around the corner. Portland needed some last-minute heroics in the Bronx to secure three points last time out, but we feel that Neville's side will be unable to repeat the trick in Texas. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 51.41%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Houston Dynamo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Houston Dynamo.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Portland Timbers |
51.41% ( 0.63) | 24.07% ( -0.23) | 24.52% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 54.26% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.73% ( 0.62) | 47.27% ( -0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.51% ( 0.57) | 69.49% ( -0.57) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.61% ( 0.48) | 18.39% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.47% ( 0.81) | 49.53% ( -0.81) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% ( -0.01) | 33.52% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.85% ( -0) | 70.15% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Portland Timbers |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.37% Total : 51.4% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.33% Total : 24.52% |
How you voted: Houston vs Portland
Micael (40'), Escobar (42'), Carrasquilla (45+4'), Herrera (67')
