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Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
DC United

Portland
2 - 2
DC United

Asprilla (18'), Moreno (61')
Chara (6'), Crepeau (59'), McGraw (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Klich (72' pen.), Fletcher (82')
Klich (62'), Herrera (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Last Game: Portland 4-1 Colorado
Sunday, February 25 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

DC United

All competitions
Last Game: DC United 3-1 New England
Sunday, February 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 DC United

 Both teams will be hoping to continue their winning start to the 2024 MLS season going in this one after solid wins on the opening day. DC United have won three of the last four meetings between the two sides but with Portland Timbers holding the home advantage in this one, we believe they will go on and narrowly take the victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for DC United had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawDC United
56.36% (1.44 1.44) 22.94% (-0.46 -0.46) 20.7% (-0.977 -0.98)
Both teams to score 53% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.44% (0.777 0.78)46.56% (-0.77500000000001 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (0.726 0.73)68.83% (-0.72200000000001 -0.72)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.68% (0.78700000000001 0.79)16.32% (-0.786 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.1% (1.406 1.41)45.9% (-1.405 -1.41)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.34% (-0.524 -0.52)36.66% (0.528 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.55% (-0.532 -0.53)73.45% (0.53400000000001 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 56.36%
    DC United 20.7%
    Draw 22.94%
Portland TimbersDrawDC United
1-0 @ 10.84% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.83% (0.195 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.96% (0.188 0.19)
3-0 @ 5.94% (0.269 0.27)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.7% (0.153 0.15)
4-0 @ 2.69% (0.189 0.19)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.059 0.06)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.08 0.08)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 56.36%
1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1% (0.0039999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.94%
0-1 @ 6% (-0.288 -0.29)
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.194 -0.19)
0-2 @ 3.01% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 20.7%

How you voted: Portland vs DC United

Portland Timbers
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
DC United
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2019 8.30pm
Gameweek 37
Portland
0-1
DC United

Williamson (46')
Tuiloma (25' og.)
Rooney (64')
Aug 16, 2018 1am
Gameweek 28
DC United
4-1
Portland
Rooney (43', 68'), Fisher (47'), Mattocks (91')
Arriola (33'), Canouse (72'), Acosta (73'), Mattocks (92')
Armenteros (34')
Oct 16, 2017 12.30am
Portland
4-0
DC United
Valeri (45' pen.), Powell (50'), Blanco (60', 86')
Guzman (58')

Clark (45')
Aug 14, 2016 12am
DC United
2-0
Portland
Birnbaum (7'), Acosta (29')
Boswell (56'), Franklin (75')

Ridgewell (50'), Jewsbury (57'), Andriuskevicius (83')
May 28, 2015 3.30am
Portland
1-0
DC United
Urruti (5')
Paparatto (56'), Chara (76')

Jeffrey (29'), Boswell (92')
> Match Report
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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