Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
52.32% ( -0.79) | 25.08% ( 0.33) | 22.6% ( 0.45) |
Both teams to score 49.01% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.86% ( -0.84) | 53.14% ( 0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.29% ( -0.72) | 74.71% ( 0.72) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.69% ( -0.65) | 20.3% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.32% ( -1.05) | 52.67% ( 1.04) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.49% ( -0.04) | 38.51% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.74% ( -0.03) | 75.25% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 12.46% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.63% Total : 52.31% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 63 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 55 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 53 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 43 |
5 | Orlando City | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 43 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 40 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 38 |
8 | Toronto | 30 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 36 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 33 |
10 | DC United | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 33 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 32 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 32 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 31 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 28 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 55 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 50 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 49 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 47 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 46 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 45 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 60 | 50 | 10 | 43 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 39 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 35 |
11 | Dallas | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 34 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 31 |
13 | St Louis City | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 28 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 29 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 18 |