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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Houston
1 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Ibrahim (7')
Clark (36'), Dorsey (65'), Ibrahim (74'), Escobar (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Manoel (43'), Morgan (59')
Amaya (64'), Harper (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 1-0 St Louis City
Wednesday, February 28 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Nashville 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, February 25 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-0 New York Red Bulls

Both sides are solid defensive units, but we are giving the Dynamo the edge because they are at home and may have a little more space in the attacking third if Tolkin is not available as we anticipate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawNew York Red Bulls
52.32% (-0.79 -0.79) 25.08% (0.332 0.33) 22.6% (0.451 0.45)
Both teams to score 49.01% (-0.427 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (-0.844 -0.84)53.14% (0.84 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.29% (-0.722 -0.72)74.71% (0.717 0.72)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69% (-0.652 -0.65)20.3% (0.646 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32% (-1.046 -1.05)52.67% (1.04 1.04)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)38.51% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)75.25% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 52.31%
    New York Red Bulls 22.6%
    Draw 25.08%
Houston DynamoDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 12.46% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 9.94% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.28% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 52.31%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 7.82% (0.255 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.46% (0.237 0.24)
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.56% (0.11 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 22.6%

How you voted: Houston vs NY Red Bulls

Houston Dynamo
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
New York Red Bulls
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2020 11pm
Jul 4, 2019 2am
Houston
4-0
NY Red Bulls
Manotas (39'), Martinez (56'), Elis (72', 94')
Quioto (41'), DeLaGarza (70')
Figueroa (94')

Murillo (44'), Duncan (63'), Casseres (68')
Murillo (83'), Romero (94')
Aug 30, 2018 1am
Gameweek 31
NY Red Bulls
1-0
Houston
White (55')

Leonardo (89')
Apr 2, 2017 1.30am
Houston
4-1
NY Red Bulls
Remick (14'), Torres (41' pen., 56', 91')
Remick (70'), Torres (87')
Wright-Phillips (13')
Lade (28'), Adams (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Patriots
3-24
Jets
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami29196467432463
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati29174850371355
3Columbus Crew28158554282653
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls29101364537843
5Orlando City29127104741643
6New York City FCNY City29117114242040
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC29108113233-138
8Toronto30113163853-1536
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2989125347633
10DC United2989124457-1333
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2988133842-432
12Nashville SCNashville2988132944-1532
13CF MontrealMontreal29710123961-2231
14Chicago Fire3078153652-1629
15New England RevolutionNew England2884163256-2428

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy30167759441555
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake29148757421550
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles28147751371449
4Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
5Colorado RapidsColorado29145105650647
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver28137847361146
7Houston DynamoHouston2912984233945
8Portland TimbersPortland291271060501043
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd29116124848039
10Austin FCAustin2998123241-935
11Dallas2997134648-234
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3087154956-731
13St Louis City29513114156-1528
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2953213667-3118


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