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Major League Soccer
New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Nov 4, 2023 at 11pm UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
FC Cincinnati

NY Red Bulls
1 - 1
Cincinnati

Barlow (45')
Lesesne (40'), Barlow (41'), Reyes (55')
Lesesne (0')
FT
(aet)
Boupendza (75')
Arias (39'), Mosquera (75'), Miazga (90+10'), Miazga (98')
NY Red Bulls win 8-7 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 NY Red Bulls
Monday, October 30 at 12am in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 NY Red Bulls
Monday, October 30 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We say: New York Red Bulls 0-1 FC Cincinnati

 Even with their backs against the wall, we expect the Red Bulls to be patient and passive in this must-win fixture, but we do not believe it will be enough to get the better of a Cincinnati side that did not appear to feel the pressure of being the top seed, while they are more than accustomed to winning close games.

How to watch

You can watch New York Red Bulls vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 50.77%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%).

Result
New York Red BullsDrawFC Cincinnati
50.77% (0.095999999999997 0.1) 24.05% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 25.17% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.01% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.4% (0.125 0.13)46.6% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.13% (0.115 0.11)68.87% (-0.116 -0.12)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62% (0.085999999999999 0.09)18.38% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (0.142 0.14)49.51% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39% (0.016000000000005 0.02)32.61% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85% (0.021999999999998 0.02)69.15% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 50.77%
    FC Cincinnati 25.18%
    Draw 24.05%
New York Red BullsDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.6% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.44% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.06% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 50.77%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 6.72% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 25.18%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs Cincinnati

New York Red Bulls
11.8%
Draw
23.5%
FC Cincinnati
64.7%
17
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2023 12am
Cincinnati
3-0
NY Red Bulls
Barreal (23', 89'), Acosta (35')
Miazga (33'), Barreal (52'), Boupendza (74')

Manoel (76'), Amaya (90')
> Preview
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Acosta (68' pen.)
Gaddis (27'), Powell (49'), Hagglund (73'), Pinto (82'), Barreal (90+8'), Acosta (90+10')
Powell (88')
Amaya (12'), Manoel (17')
Lesesne (28'), Reyes (53'), Coronel (90+9'), Duncan (90+10')
> Preview
Jul 13, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Cincinnati
Fernandez (28' pen.)
Ndam (3'), Edelman (45+1'), Vanzeir (64')
Acosta (80' pen.), Nwobodo (90+3')
Pinto (19'), Santos (62'), Ordonez (71')
> Preview
May 24, 2023
12.30am
Round of 16
NY Red Bulls  
vs.
  Cincinnati
Oct 15, 2022 5pm
First Round
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Cincinnati
Morgan (48')
Acosta (74' pen.), Vazquez (86')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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