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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Oct 30, 2023 at 12am UK
Nippert Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Cincinnati
3 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Barreal (23', 89'), Acosta (35')
Miazga (33'), Barreal (52'), Boupendza (74')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Manoel (76'), Nealis (89'), Amaya (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-2 Atlanta
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 5-2 Charlotte FC
Thursday, October 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 New York Red Bulls

 Given FC Cincinnati's firepower, we do not believe the Red Bulls will be nearly as aggressive on Sunday as they were against Charlotte earlier this week. The Red Bulls' strength still lies in their defensive shape, but the Orange and Blue know how to win close encounters, and we expect them to eventually break through this weekend.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 50.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
50.36% (0.858 0.86) 25.21% (0.032999999999998 0.03) 24.43% (-0.891 -0.89)
Both teams to score 50.65% (-0.963 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.02% (-0.84 -0.84)51.98% (0.84 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28% (-0.731 -0.73)73.72% (0.73099999999999 0.73)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.35% (0.022000000000006 0.02)20.65% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.77% (0.033000000000001 0.03)53.23% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.84% (-1.232 -1.23)36.16% (1.232 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.05% (-1.276 -1.28)72.95% (1.275 1.27)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 50.36%
    New York Red Bulls 24.43%
    Draw 25.2%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.29% (0.319 0.32)
3-1 @ 4.97% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.171 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.93% (0.069 0.07)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 50.36%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.47% (0.247 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.6%
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 24.43%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls

FC Cincinnati
75.0%
Draw
18.8%
New York Red Bulls
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Acosta (68' pen.)
Gaddis (27'), Powell (49'), Hagglund (73'), Pinto (82'), Barreal (90+8'), Acosta (90+10')
Powell (88')
Amaya (12'), Manoel (17')
Lesesne (28'), Reyes (53'), Coronel (90+9'), Duncan (90+10')
> Preview
Jul 13, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Cincinnati
Fernandez (28' pen.)
Ndam (3'), Edelman (45+1'), Vanzeir (64')
Acosta (80' pen.), Nwobodo (90+3')
Pinto (19'), Santos (62'), Ordonez (71')
> Preview
May 24, 2023
12.30am
Round of 16
NY Red Bulls  
vs.
  Cincinnati
Oct 15, 2022 5pm
First Round
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Cincinnati
Morgan (48')
Acosta (74' pen.), Vazquez (86')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 11pm
NY Red Bulls
1-1
Cincinnati
Klimala (23' pen.)
Edelman (85')
Miazga (13')
Miazga (37'), Nwobodo (66')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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