Major League Soccer

Oct 30, 2023 at 12am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
3 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Barreal (23', 89'), Acosta (35')
Miazga (33'), Barreal (52'), Boupendza (74')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Manoel (76'), Nealis (89'), Amaya (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 2-2 Atlanta
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 5-2 Charlotte FC
Thursday, October 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 New York Red Bulls

Given FC Cincinnati's firepower, we do not believe the Red Bulls will be nearly as aggressive on Sunday as they were against Charlotte earlier this week. The Red Bulls' strength still lies in their defensive shape, but the Orange and Blue know how to win close encounters, and we expect them to eventually break through this weekend.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 50.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	New York Red Bulls
50.36% ( 0.86)	25.21% ( 0.03)	24.43% ( -0.89)

Both teams to score 50.65% (

-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.02% (

-0.84)

51.98% (

0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.28% (

-0.73)

73.72% (

0.73)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.35% (

0.02)

20.65% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.77% (

0.03)

53.23% (

-0.03)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.84% (

-1.23)

36.16% (

1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.05% (

-1.28)

72.95% (

1.27)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 50.36%

New York Red Bulls 24.43%

Draw 25.2%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.58% Total : 50.36%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 7.6% 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.87% Total : 24.43%