Confidence is quite low with New York City FC at the moment, and seeing one of your most experienced players in Sands lose their cool seems to reflect how everyone at the club is probably feeling at the moment: frustrated.
The Timbers, on the other hand, have shown to be a potent side in the attacking third so far in 2024, and we believe that, combined with the lack of chance creation on the NYCFC side of things, will enable Portland to maintain their 100% away record against the Pigeons.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
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