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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Dec 11, 2021 at 8pm UK
Providence Park
New York City

Portland
1 - 1
NY City

Mora (90+4')
van Rankin (59'), Chara (90')
FT
(aet)
Castellanos (41')
Rodriguez (80'), Johnson (88'), Medina (90+1')
NY City win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We say: Portland Timbers 2-1 New York City FC

 This is a tough match to call, as each side has found another gear in the playoffs, and they both possess plenty of quality in the final third, but the Timbers get a slight edge, having been to this point before, so they are unlikely to be overwhelmed by the moment, plus they will have the home crowd behind them. Portland are also looking a little sharper in all facets of the game, and their depth and quick counter-attacking play should be enough to help them claim their second MLS title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%).

Result
Portland TimbersDrawNew York City FC
40.98%24.68%34.35%
Both teams to score 58.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.52%44.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.15%66.86%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28%21.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.11%54.89%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.8%25.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.06%59.94%
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 40.98%
    New York City FC 34.35%
    Draw 24.68%
Portland TimbersDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 8.8%
1-0 @ 8.36%
2-0 @ 6.38%
3-1 @ 4.48%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 3.08%
4-1 @ 1.71%
4-0 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 40.98%
1-1 @ 11.52%
2-2 @ 6.06%
0-0 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.68%
1-2 @ 7.94%
0-1 @ 7.55%
0-2 @ 5.2%
1-3 @ 3.65%
2-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.39%
1-4 @ 1.26%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.35%

How you voted: Portland vs NY City

Portland Timbers
59.6%
Draw
17.0%
New York City FC
23.4%
47
Head to Head
Aug 2, 2020 3.30am
NY City
1-3
Portland
Medina (27' pen.)
Ring (44'), Medina (45+1'), Moralez (85'), Callens (90+5')
Blanco (43'), Valeri (65'), Joya (76')
Williamson (37'), Mabiala (79')
Jul 7, 2019 11.30pm
NY City
0-1
Portland

Chanot (81'), Ofori (88')
Blanco (14')
Dielna (40'), Blanco (44'), Farfan (44'), Asprilla (45'), Valentin (45')
Apr 22, 2018 11pm
Gameweek 9
Portland
3-0
NY City
Blanco (26'), Adi (38'), Mabiala (66')

Ring (63'), Callens (92')
Sep 9, 2017 10.30pm
NY City
0-1
Portland

Sweat (71'), Moralez (88')
Valeri (44')
Guzman (23'), Blanco (27'), Chara (76'), Valeri (90')
May 16, 2016 12.30am
Portland
1-2
NY City
Adi (55')
Zemanski (38')
Villa (12'), McNamara (65')
Allen (24'), Saunders (87')
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
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