Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 73.78%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 10.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
73.78% | 15.49% | 10.72% |
Both teams to score 54.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.82% | 32.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.22% | 53.77% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.54% | 7.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.19% | 26.81% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.3% | 40.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.71% | 77.28% |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
2-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 9.2% 3-0 @ 8.85% 3-1 @ 7.96% 1-0 @ 7.88% 4-0 @ 5.75% 4-1 @ 5.17% 3-2 @ 3.58% 5-0 @ 2.99% 5-1 @ 2.68% 4-2 @ 2.32% 6-0 @ 1.29% 5-2 @ 1.21% 6-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.53% Total : 73.78% | 1-1 @ 7.08% 2-2 @ 4.13% 0-0 @ 3.03% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.49% | 1-2 @ 3.18% 0-1 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 1.24% 0-2 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.39% Total : 10.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |