Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for DC United had a probability of 13.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | DC United |
67.99% | 18.2% | 13.81% |
Both teams to score 54.69% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.77% | 37.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.56% | 59.45% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.98% | 10.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.93% | 33.08% |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.79% | 39.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.07% | 75.93% |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | DC United |
2-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.74% 1-0 @ 9.04% 3-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 7.47% 4-0 @ 4.59% 4-1 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 3.49% 5-0 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 2.01% 5-1 @ 1.98% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.97% Total : 67.99% | 1-1 @ 8.46% 2-2 @ 4.56% 0-0 @ 3.93% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.2% | 1-2 @ 3.96% 0-1 @ 3.68% 0-2 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.42% 1-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.79% Total : 13.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |