Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 41

Oct 24, 2021 at 1am UK

Toyota Park

Chicago Fire
1 - 0
Salt Lake

Beric (45')
Herbers (29'), Pineda (67'), Gimenez (74'), Gutierrez (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 55.85%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 22.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago Fire	Draw	Real Salt Lake
55.85%	21.93%	22.22%

Both teams to score 58.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.84%

40.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.47%

62.53%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.72%

14.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.93%

42.07%

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.39%

31.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.99%

68.02%

Score Analysis

Chicago Fire 55.85%

Real Salt Lake 22.22%

Draw 21.92%

Chicago Fire	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.85% 1-0 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 6.39% 3-0 @ 5.55% 3-2 @ 3.68% 4-1 @ 3.11% 4-0 @ 2.7% 4-2 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.21% 5-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.2% Total : 55.85%	1-1 @ 10.11% 2-2 @ 5.67% 0-0 @ 4.51% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.92%	1-2 @ 5.83% 0-1 @ 5.2% 0-2 @ 2.99% 1-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.64% Total : 22.22%