Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 41

Oct 21, 2021 at 12.30am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
3 - 4
Chicago Fire

Acosta (28'), Vazquez (36'), Blackett (90+1')
Bailey (30'), Gyau (48'), Cameron (80')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Beric (14', 17'), Medran (71'), Stojanovic (90+3')
Kappelhof (45+1'), Navarro (68'), Slonina (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Chicago Fire
34.87%	26.77%	38.35%

Both teams to score 51.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.47%

53.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.96%

75.04%

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.77%

29.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.82%

65.18%

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.84%

27.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.44%

62.56%

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 34.87%

Chicago Fire 38.35%

Draw 26.77%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 6.01% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.87%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.77%	0-1 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 8.3% 0-2 @ 6.74% 1-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.35%