Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | New England Revolution |
36.52% | 24.65% | 38.83% |
Both teams to score 59.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.97% | 44.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.59% | 66.41% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.22% | 23.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.07% | 57.93% |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.42% | 22.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.82% | 56.17% |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | New England Revolution |
2-1 @ 8.24% 1-0 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 5.54% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.52% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-1 @ 7.99% 0-2 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 4.24% 2-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.95% 1-4 @ 1.58% 2-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |