Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 29

Sep 12, 2021 at 12am UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
2 - 1
NY City

Boateng (21'), Buchanan (65')
Kessler (63'), Buksa (64'), Polster (90'), Gil (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Rodriguez (11')
Morales (45+2'), Castellanos (52'), Andrade (74')
Morales (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New England Revolution in this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	New York City FC
46.37%	23.18%	30.44%

Both teams to score 62.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.12%

38.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.8%

61.19%

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.88%

17.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.67%

47.33%

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.16%

24.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.56%

59.44%

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 46.37%

New York City FC 30.44%

Draw 23.18%

New England Revolution	Draw	New York City FC
2-1 @ 9.23% 1-0 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 6.62% 3-1 @ 5.43% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 3.78% 4-1 @ 2.4% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 4.13% Total : 46.37%	1-1 @ 10.45% 2-2 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 4.25% 3-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.18%	1-2 @ 7.28% 0-1 @ 5.92% 0-2 @ 4.12% 1-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.63% Total : 30.44%