Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.24%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | New York City FC |
30.59% | 22.98% | 46.44% |
Both teams to score 63.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.18% | 37.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.93% | 60.07% |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.76% | 24.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.41% | 58.59% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.32% | 16.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.44% | 46.56% |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | New York City FC |
2-1 @ 7.27% 1-0 @ 5.73% 2-0 @ 4.06% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 3.08% 3-0 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.59% | 1-1 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 6.51% 0-0 @ 4.04% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 9.19% 0-1 @ 7.24% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 5.49% 2-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 3.87% 1-4 @ 2.46% 2-4 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.73% Other @ 4.35% Total : 46.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |