Major League Soccer | Gameweek 20
Jul 31, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Yankee Stadium
NY City4 - 1Columbus Crew
Castellanos (14'), Andrade (35'), Parks (51'), Rodriguez (71')
Andrade (36'), Thorarinsson (41'), Castellanos (55'), Medina (69')
Andrade (36'), Thorarinsson (41'), Castellanos (55'), Medina (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 66.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 13.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 66.38% | 20.08% | 13.54% |
| Both teams to score 47.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
