MX23RW : Monday, September 30 19:13:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 10
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stangmore Park

Dungannon
4 - 0
Carrick

McGovern (33'), Dillon (38'), Mitchell (70'), Boyd (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Forsythe (14')
Crowe (39')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glenavon 1-1 Dungannon
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 1-0 Carrick
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 55.41%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 22.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.

Result
Dungannon SwiftsDrawCarrick Rangers
55.41% (-0.363 -0.36) 22.07% (0.07 0.07) 22.51% (0.293 0.29)
Both teams to score 58.54% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.54% (0.027999999999999 0.03)40.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.16% (0.027999999999999 0.03)62.84% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.48% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)14.52% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.46% (-0.205 -0.2)42.54% (0.207 0.21)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48% (0.274 0.27)31.52% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09% (0.316 0.32)67.91% (-0.31399999999999 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Dungannon Swifts 55.41%
    Carrick Rangers 22.51%
    Draw 22.07%
Dungannon SwiftsDrawCarrick Rangers
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.52% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.33% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.64% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 55.41%
1-1 @ 10.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.07%
1-2 @ 5.89% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 5.29% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.05% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 22.51%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Dungannon
3-2
Carrick
Galvin (13'), Dillon (17', 22')
Maguire (90+1'), Dunne (90+6')
Cherry (52'), Purkis (62')
Stewart (84')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Carrick
2-1
Dungannon
Purkis (45+4'), Cushley (61' pen.)
Cushley (44'), Cherry (63')
Forsythe (82')
Bigirimana (70')
Hegarty (45+1'), Scott (47'), Dunne (60'), Taggart (85')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Dungannon
2-3
Carrick
Curry (14'), Marron (82')
Galvin (33'), Owens (51'), Marron (73')
Allen (51' pen.), Macuilaitis (60', 66')
Glendinning (33'), Cushley (34'), Forsythe (57'), Macuilaitis (90+3')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Carrick
2-1
Dungannon
Marron (16' og.), Cushley (90' pen.)
Cushley (28'), Crowe (63')
Moore (32')
Glenny (10'), Lusty (78'), Devine (89')
Apr 11, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Carrick
2-0
Dungannon
Cushley (21' pen., 75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bills
10-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield96211951420
2Ballymena UnitedBallymena106041512318
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon10523138517
4LarneLarne742193614
5CliftonvilleCliftonville94231310314
6GlentoranGlentoran1042488014
7CrusadersCrusaders841397213
8ColeraineColeraine93421312113
9PortadownPortadown93331311212
10GlenavonGlenavon10244813-510
11Loughgall10127926-175
12Carrick RangersCarrick9108721-143


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