NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Seaview
Crusaders2 - 1Carrick
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Carrick Rangers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crusaders 1-1 Cliftonville
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-3 Glentoran
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 52.1%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crusaders in this match.
Result | ||
Crusaders | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
52.1% ( 0.49) | 23.41% ( 0.11) | 24.49% ( -0.6) |
Both teams to score 56.4% ( -1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.59% ( -1.03) | 44.41% ( 1.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.22% ( -1.01) | 66.78% ( 1) |
Crusaders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.94% ( -0.2) | 17.06% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.77% ( -0.35) | 47.23% ( 0.35) |
Carrick Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68% ( -1.04) | 32% ( 1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.54% ( -1.21) | 68.46% ( 1.21) |
Score Analysis |
Crusaders 52.1%
Carrick Rangers 24.49%
Draw 23.41%
Crusaders | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.95% Total : 52.1% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.62% Total : 24.49% |
Head to Head
May 1, 2024 7.45pm
Crusaders
3-1
Carrick
Lecky (7', 54'), Nixon (45+1')
Lecky (76')
Lecky (76')
Purkis (45+3')
Cushley (9'), Watson (56')
Cushley (9'), Watson (56')
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Crusaders
2-0
Carrick
Dec 8, 2023 7.45pm
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-30 19:02:01
FT
Bills
10-35
Ravens
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | LinfieldLinfield | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 20 |
2 | Ballymena UnitedBallymena | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 18 |
3 | Dungannon SwiftsDungannon | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 17 |
4 | LarneLarne | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 14 |
5 | CliftonvilleCliftonville | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 14 |
6 | GlentoranGlentoran | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 14 |
7 | CrusadersCrusaders | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 13 |
8 | ColeraineColeraine | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 |
9 | PortadownPortadown | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
10 | GlenavonGlenavon | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Loughgall | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 5 |
12 | Carrick RangersCarrick | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 3 |
> NIFL Premiership Full Table |
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