MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 13:41:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
2 - 1
Loughgall

Stewart (17', 20')
Macuilaitis (59'), Macuilaitis (62'), Forsythe (66'), McGuckin (90+2')
Gordon (43')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Strain (33')
Allen (14'), Kelly (89'), Hoey (90+2')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Loughgall.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newry City AFC 1-3 Carrick
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 2-0 Loughgall
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Carrick Rangers in this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLoughgall
43.14% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 24.52% (0.0040000000000013 0) 32.33% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.66% (-0.012 -0.01)44.34% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.28% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)66.71% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)20.66% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.76% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)53.24% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.65% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 43.14%
    Loughgall 32.33%
    Draw 24.51%
Carrick RangersDrawLoughgall
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.58% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 43.14%
1-1 @ 11.44%
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.26% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.68%
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 32.33%

Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Loughgall
3-3
Carrick
Hoey (38', 77'), Ferris (90+1')
Carroll (40'), Magee (67'), Ferris (90+2')
Teelan (34'), Purkis (41', 46')
Buchanan-Rolleston (45+3'), Purkis (74'), Gordon (90+2')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Carrick
2-2
Loughgall
Mackinnon (41'), Purkis (74')
Gordon (37'), Glendinning (70'), Cushley (78'), McGuckin (90+2'), McGuckin (90+2')
Boyd (49'), Magee (71')
Boyd (16'), Murdock (39'), Gibson (42'), Loughran (44'), Kelly (83')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Loughgall
3-4
Carrick
Forsythe (16' og.), Hoey (63'), Magee (77')
Kelly (10'), Loughran (53'), Cartwright (57')
Kelly (89')
Forsythe (29'), Allen (37', 72'), Macuilaitis (40')
Surgenor (10'), Mackinnon (87'), McGuckin (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield17112433151835
2CliftonvilleCliftonville1793526161030
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon189272421329
4PortadownPortadown178452417728
5GlentoranGlentoran188371916327
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena179082120127
7ColeraineColeraine177462822625
8CrusadersCrusaders157261817123
9LarneLarne136341511421
10Carrick RangersCarrick1743101829-1115
11GlenavonGlenavon183691125-1415
12Loughgall1832131846-2811


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