Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Glenavon	Draw	Loughgall
43.85% ( 0.08)	24.25% ( 0.01)	31.89% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 59.19% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.72% (

-0.09)

43.28% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.32% (

-0.09)

65.68% (

0.09)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.09% (

19.9% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.96% (

-0)

52.03% (

0.01)

Loughgall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.9% (

-0.09)

26.1% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.84% (

-0.13)

61.16% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Glenavon 43.85%

Loughgall 31.89%

Draw 24.25%

Glenavon	Draw	Loughgall
2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 43.85%	1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.25%	1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 31.89%