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Serie A
Parma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Cagliari logo

Parma
2 - 3
Cagliari

Man (62'), Hernani (87' pen.)
Bernabe (25'), Coulibaly (48'), Haj Mohamed (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zortea (34'), Marin (75'), Piccoli (87')
Obert (53'), Piccoli (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Parma and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-2 Parma
Saturday, September 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Cagliari

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-0 Cremonese
Tuesday, September 24 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Parma 2-1 Cagliari

 A meeting between the team that attempted the most shots after five matchdays (Cagliari, 85) and the side that conceded more attempts than any other (Parma, 93) surely cannot end goalless. Both home advantage and a sharper cutting edge should tip the balance in Parma's favour, leaving their visitors still searching for an elusive Serie A success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawCagliari
44.96% (-0.116 -0.12) 25.3% (-0.073 -0.07) 29.74% (0.186 0.19)
Both teams to score 54.55% (0.343 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (0.399 0.4)48.86% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (0.362 0.36)70.96% (-0.366 -0.37)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27% (0.11500000000001 0.12)21.73% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.1% (0.174 0.17)54.9% (-0.178 -0.18)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (0.336 0.34)30.31% (-0.34 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (0.4 0.4)66.49% (-0.404 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Parma 44.96%
    Cagliari 29.74%
    Draw 25.3%
ParmaDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 10.05% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.67% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.66% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.035 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 44.96%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.86% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.16% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 29.74%

How you voted: Parma vs Cagliari

Parma
72.9%
Draw
20.0%
Cagliari
7.1%
155
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2023 7.30pm
Parma
0-0
Cagliari
Osorio (61'), Zanimacchia (64')
Dossena (41'), Radunovic (90'), Goldaniga (90+1'), Viola (90+5')
> Preview
May 30, 2023 7.30pm
Cagliari
3-2
Parma
Luvumbo (68', 89'), Lapadula (85' pen.)
Benedyczak (10'), Sohm (26')
Estevez (29'), Vazquez (62'), Chichizola (65'), Mihaila (72'), Man (90+1')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 34
Parma
2-1
Cagliari
Vazquez (62' pen.), Man (77')
Lapadula (32')
Dec 3, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 15
Cagliari
1-1
Parma
Pavoletti (54')
Camara (44')
Apr 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Cagliari
4-3
Parma
Pavoletti (39'), Marin (66'), Pereiro (90+1'), Cerri (90+4')
Marin (30'), Duncan (46'), Nandez (80'), Nainggolan (83')
Pezzella (5'), Kucka (31'), Man (59')
Pezzella (24'), Kurtic (58')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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