Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Parma2 - 3Cagliari
We said: Parma 2-1 Cagliari
A meeting between the team that attempted the most shots after five matchdays (Cagliari, 85) and the side that conceded more attempts than any other (Parma, 93) surely cannot end goalless. Both home advantage and a sharper cutting edge should tip the balance in Parma's favour, leaving their visitors still searching for an elusive Serie A success. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Cagliari |
44.96% ( -0.12) | 25.3% ( -0.07) | 29.74% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.55% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
