Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Cagliari0 - 0Roma
We said: Cagliari 1-2 Roma
A new-look Roma side should have sufficient flair to unlock their hosts on Sunday, though it could take more than one goal to seize victory in Sardinia. Cagliari can generally hold their own on home turf, but doubts remain about their defence despite Davide Nicola's appointment. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Roma |
30.56% ( -0.76) | 26.45% ( -0.44) | 42.99% ( 1.2) |
| Both teams to score 51.31% ( 1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
