We say: Aston Villa 2-1 Manchester United
As Villa played at home on Wednesday, and Man United played away on Thursday, Emery's men should no doubt boast the fresher set of legs on Sunday, and there is still a real lack of identity about a disjointed Man United.
The Red Devils may have had Villa's number in recent years, but Emery's side have our thumbs-up to continue their hot streak and march to the hard-fought win that might seal Ten Hag's fate.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 35.79% and a draw has a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.16%) and 0-2 (5.35%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.88%).