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Premier League | Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2024 at 2pm UK
Villa Park
Manchester United logo

Aston Villa
vs.
Man Utd

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester United could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester United's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Bayern
Wednesday, October 2 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Porto 3-3 Man Utd
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Europa League

We say: Aston Villa 2-1 Manchester United

As Villa played at home on Wednesday, and Man United played away on Thursday, Emery's men should no doubt boast the fresher set of legs on Sunday, and there is still a real lack of identity about a disjointed Man United. The Red Devils may have had Villa's number in recent years, but Emery's side have our thumbs-up to continue their hot streak and march to the hard-fought win that might seal Ten Hag's fate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 35.79% and a draw has a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.16%) and 0-2 (5.35%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.88%).

Result
Aston VillaDrawManchester United
35.79% (1.429 1.43) 22.83% (-0.295 -0.29) 41.38% (-1.132 -1.13)
Both teams to score 65.78% (1.499 1.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.81% (1.811 1.81)35.19% (-1.81 -1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.8% (1.987 1.99)57.2% (-1.986 -1.99)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85% (1.556 1.56)20.14% (-1.555 -1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.58% (2.432 2.43)52.42% (-2.433 -2.43)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37% (0.277 0.28)17.63% (-0.277 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.77% (0.478 0.48)48.22% (-0.477 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 35.79%
    Manchester United 41.38%
    Draw 22.83%
Aston VillaDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.112 0.11)
1-0 @ 5.69% (-0.246 -0.25)
2-0 @ 4.56% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.253 0.25)
3-2 @ 3.67% (0.25 0.25)
3-0 @ 2.43% (0.125 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.69% (0.175 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.164 0.16)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 35.79%
1-1 @ 9.88% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-2 @ 6.87% (0.157 0.16)
0-0 @ 3.55% (-0.334 -0.33)
3-3 @ 2.12% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.83%
1-2 @ 8.57% (-0.212 -0.21)
0-1 @ 6.16% (-0.519 -0.52)
0-2 @ 5.35% (-0.399 -0.4)
1-3 @ 4.96% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.97% (0.125 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.1% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.72% (0.07 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-4 @ 0.92% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 41.38%

Who will win Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Man Utd?

Aston Villa
Draw
Manchester United
Aston Villa
68.1%
Draw
14.9%
Manchester United
17.0%
188
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 24
Aston Villa
1-2
Man Utd
Luiz (67')
Lenglet (45+4'), Cash (60'), Diaby (71')
Hojlund (17'), McTominay (86')
Casemiro (37'), Mainoo (45+4')
Dec 26, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 19
Man Utd
3-2
Aston Villa
Garnacho (59', 71'), Hojlund (82')
Fernandes (73')
McGinn (21'), Dendoncker (26')
Ramsey (45+2'), Carlos (74'), Konsa (87')
Apr 30, 2023 2pm
Nov 10, 2022 8pm
Third Round
Man Utd
4-2
Aston Villa
Martial (49'), Rashford (67'), Fernandes (78'), McTominay (90+1')
Watkins (48'), Dalot (61' og.)
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 15
Aston Villa
3-1
Man Utd
Bailey (7'), Digne (11'), Ramsey (49')
Ramsey (45' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
11Bournemouth622289-18
12Brentford6213810-27
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Ipswich TownIpswich6042510-54
16Everton6114715-84
17Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
18Crystal Palace603359-43
19Southampton6015312-91
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101


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