Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.26%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.