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Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 5, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Sardegna Arena
Lecce logo

Cagliari
1 - 1
Lecce

Mina (26')
Ranieri (44'), Scuffet (64'), Nandez (74'), Deiola (78'), Deiola (77'), Augello (78')
Gaetano (42'), Gaetano (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Krstovic (84')
Piccoli (14'), Sansone (54'), Ramadani (56'), Baschirotto (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 3-0 Cagliari
Monday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Monza
Saturday, April 27 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 2-2 Lecce

Throughout Serie A, Lecce (39%) and Cagliari (36%) have scored the highest share of goals during the final 15 minutes, so nothing will be decided until the final whistle blows. The Salentini have recently started picking up more points on the road, but their hosts never know when they are beaten and should at least avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CagliariDrawLecce
45.49% (-2.24 -2.24) 26.67% (0.461 0.46) 27.84% (1.779 1.78)
Both teams to score 49.15% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.67% (-0.688 -0.69)55.32% (0.688 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.46% (-0.568 -0.57)76.54% (0.56700000000001 0.57)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.75% (-1.351 -1.35)24.25% (1.351 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.39% (-1.951 -1.95)58.6% (1.949 1.95)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.88% (1.091 1.09)35.12% (-1.092 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.13% (1.125 1.13)71.86% (-1.127 -1.13)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 45.49%
    Lecce 27.84%
    Draw 26.66%
CagliariDrawLecce
1-0 @ 12.06% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.462 -0.46)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.273 -0.27)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.39 -0.39)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.201 -0.2)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 45.49%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 8.52% (0.224 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 8.91% (0.488 0.49)
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.299 0.3)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.385 0.39)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.169 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.178 0.18)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 27.84%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Lecce

Cagliari
43.9%
Draw
34.8%
Lecce
21.2%
66
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 19
Lecce
1-1
Cagliari
Gendrey (31')
Espeto (67')
Oristanio (68')
Dossena (35')
Jul 12, 2020 6.30pm
Nov 25, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 13
Lecce
2-2
Cagliari
Lapadula (82' pen.), Calderoni (91')
Petriccione (68'), Farias (95')
Lapadula (85')
Pedro (30' pen.), Nainggolan (67')
Lykogiannis (21'), Rog (45')
Cacciatore (81'), Olsen (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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