Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Atalanta BC |
36.08% ( 0.08) | 27.1% ( 0.04) | 36.82% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 50.61% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.24% ( -0.15) | 54.76% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.93% ( -0.13) | 76.07% ( 0.12) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.91% ( -0.02) | 29.08% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35% ( -0.03) | 65% ( 0.03) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.36% ( -0.15) | 28.64% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.55% ( -0.18) | 64.45% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.07% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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