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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 7, 2024 at 5pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Atalanta logo

Cagliari
2 - 1
Atalanta

Augello (42'), Viola (88')
Deiola (66'), Toloi (73'), Nandez (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Scamacca (13')
de Roon (54'), Zappacosta (63'), Luvumbo (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Hellas Verona
Monday, April 1 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta
Wednesday, April 3 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Cagliari 1-2 Atalanta BC

These clubs have not drawn any of their last Serie A 17 meetings, and that streak could continue on Sunday evening, when Atalanta should return to base with maximum points. Their varied attack can exploit Cagliari's dubious defence, though it will be far from a straightforward mission. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
CagliariDrawAtalanta BC
36.08% (0.083000000000006 0.08) 27.1% (0.038 0.04) 36.82% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 50.61% (-0.117 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.24% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)54.76% (0.148 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.93% (-0.125 -0.13)76.07% (0.123 0.12)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)29.08% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)65% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36% (-0.146 -0.15)28.64% (0.144 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55% (-0.183 -0.18)64.45% (0.181 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 36.07%
    Atalanta BC 36.81%
    Draw 27.09%
CagliariDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.28% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 2.62% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 36.07%
1-1 @ 12.86% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.33% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 10.41% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.04% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 36.81%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Atalanta

Cagliari
7.9%
Draw
17.1%
Atalanta BC
75.0%
76
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 5
Atalanta
2-0
Cagliari
Lookman (33'), Pasalic (76')
Djimsiti (54')

Deiola (32'), Luvumbo (42')
Feb 6, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 24
Atalanta
1-2
Cagliari
Luis Palomino (64')
Zappacosta (61')
Musso (52')
Pereiro (50', 68')
Henrique (24'), Grassi (35'), Deiola (63'), Cragno (90'), Goldaniga (90+1'), Mazzarri (90+2')
Nov 6, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Cagliari
1-2
Atalanta
Pedro (27')
Godin (20')
Pasalic (6'), Zapata (43')
Koopmeiners (45')
Feb 14, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 22
Cagliari
0-1
Atalanta

Walukiewicz (7'), Rugani (60'), Lykogiannis (69')
Muriel (90')
Romero (45+1'), Ilicic (68'), de Roon (89')
Jan 14, 2021 8.15pm
Rounds of 16
Atalanta
3-1
Cagliari
Miranchuk (43'), Muriel (61'), Sutalo (64')
Ilicic (81')
Sottil (55')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1AC Milan6321147711
2Torino532085311
3Napoli531194510
4Udinese531177010
5Juventus52306069
6Empoli52305239
7Inter Milan522110558
8Lazio52129817
9Atalanta BCAtalanta52031011-16
10Roma51315326
11Hellas VeronaHellas Verona52038806
12Bologna513168-26
13Fiorentina51317706
14Parma512289-15
15Lecce6123311-85
16Como512269-35
17Genoa512247-35
18VeneziaVenezia511338-54
19Monza503246-23
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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