Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Mar 3, 2024 at 5pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
1 - 2
Bologna

Lookman (28')
Koopmeiners (14'), Holm (64'), Ederson (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Zirkzee (57' pen.), Ferguson (61')
Posch (6'), Odgaard (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Atalanta
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Hellas Verona
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atalanta BC 1-0 Bologna

Expect a tight game between two well-drilled sides on Sunday evening, as Atalanta and Bologna are evenly matched in many respects. Both feature in this season's top three for Serie A goals after the 90th minute, so it may not truly be over until the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 65.53%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 14.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Bologna
65.53% ( 0.8)	20.3% ( -0.12)	14.17% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 48.34% (

-1.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.92% (

-0.83)

46.08% (

0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.62% (

-0.79)

68.39% (

0.8)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.76% (

-0.02)

13.24% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.99% (

-0.05)

40.01% (

0.05)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.71% (

-1.47)

44.29% (

1.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.64% (

-1.22)

80.36% (

1.23)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 65.52%

Bologna 14.17%

Draw 20.3%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Bologna
2-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.4) 1-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 65.52%	1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.81% Total : 20.3%	0-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.37% Total : 14.17%