Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Mar 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
0 - 1
Atalanta

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cisse (82')
Demiral (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

Last Six:

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Udinese	38	3	47
13	Bologna	38	-11	46
14	Empoli	38	-20	41

Atalanta BC

Last Six:

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62
8	Atalanta BC	38	17	59
9	Hellas Verona	38	6	53

We said: Bologna 0-1 Atalanta BC

Both Atalanta and Bologna have failed to score in five Serie A games so far in 2022 - only relegation candidates Genoa have fared worse in that regard - and the visitors could be suffering from a European hangover too. Therefore, a tightly-contested game may have to be decided by a moment of magic from La Dea's underperforming cast of attacking stars. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Atalanta BC
27.51%	23.42%	49.07%

Both teams to score 59.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.13%

41.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.73%

64.27%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.69%

28.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.96%

64.03%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.76%

17.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.46%

47.54%

Score Analysis

Bologna 27.51%

Atalanta BC 49.07%

Draw 23.41%

Bologna	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 6.83% 1-0 @ 6.16% 2-0 @ 3.89% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 1.63% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.7% Total : 27.51%	1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.41%	1-2 @ 9.52% 0-1 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 7.54% 1-3 @ 5.58% 0-3 @ 4.42% 2-3 @ 3.52% 1-4 @ 2.45% 0-4 @ 1.94% 2-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.97% Total : 49.07%