Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 20

Apr 27, 2022 at 7.15pm UK

Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia

Atalanta
4 - 4
Torino

Muriel (18' pen., 84' pen.), de Roon (23'), Pasalic (78')
Freuler (35'), Pasalic (69')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Sanabria (4'), Lukic (36' pen., 63' pen.), Freuler (67' og.)
Lukic (52'), Zima (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

Last Six:

Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62
8	Atalanta BC	38	17	59
9	Hellas Verona	38	6	53

Torino

Last Six:

Last Game: Torino 0-3 Roma
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Hellas Verona	38	6	53
10	Torino	38	5	50
11	Sassuolo	38	-2	50

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Torino

Both sides will hope that they can turn over a new leaf for the new year, as Atalanta's all-out attacking has not translated to sufficient points at the Gewiss Stadium, and Torino are too often abysmal outside of Turin. The hosts have the best chance of doing so, however, as their greater individual quality in the final third should prove decisive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Torino had a probability of 19.95%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Torino
57.14%	22.91%	19.95%

Both teams to score 51.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.58%

47.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.36%

69.64%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.64%

16.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.03%

45.97%

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.07%

37.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.3%

74.7%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 57.13%

Torino 19.95%

Draw 22.9%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 11.23% 2-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 9.86% 3-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 5.95% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-0 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 2.69% 4-2 @ 1.31% 5-0 @ 1.01% 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.15% Total : 57.13%	1-1 @ 10.88% 0-0 @ 6.2% 2-2 @ 4.78% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.9%	0-1 @ 6.01% 1-2 @ 5.28% 0-2 @ 2.92% 1-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.55% Total : 19.95%