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Major League Soccer
St Louis City
Major League Soccer
Apr 30, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Citypark
Portland Timbers

St Louis City
1 - 2
Portland

Pompeu (79')
Hiebert (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Evander (63' pen.), Chara (82')
McGraw (8'), Savarese (9'), David Mosquera (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

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Last Game: Colorado 1-1 St Louis City
Sunday, April 23 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
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Portland Timbers

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-1 Portland
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: St Louis City 1-0 Portland Timbers

 The Timbers' core has been relatively intact for the most part this year, but they have become somewhat predictable and are missing that killer instinct. Being without an impactful player like Klauss will be a challenge for the home team. However, St Louis have shown they do not need one individual to get them three points, and that depth should carry them through without their key Brazilian.

How to watch

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
St Louis CityDrawPortland Timbers
46.57% (0.532 0.53) 23.31% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 30.11% (-0.562 -0.56)
Both teams to score 61.62% (-0.444 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.32% (-0.443 -0.44)39.68% (0.439 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.97% (-0.461 -0.46)62.03% (0.45800000000001 0.46)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.65% (0.034000000000006 0.03)17.35% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.26% (0.061 0.06)47.73% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (-0.57199999999999 -0.57)25.44% (0.568 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73% (-0.786 -0.79)60.27% (0.781 0.78)
Score Analysis
    St Louis City 46.57%
    Portland Timbers 30.11%
    Draw 23.31%
St Louis CityDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.06 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.73% (0.166 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.77% (0.153 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.95% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 46.57%
1-1 @ 10.58% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.09 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.31%
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-1 @ 6.04% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 30.11%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 3.30am
Portland
1-2
St Louis City
McGraw (3')
Zuparic (54'), Moreno (68'), McGraw (74')
Stroud (45+1'), Hiebert (75')
Stroud (29'), Perez (65')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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