Major League Soccer
Apr 2, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Citypark
Form, Standings, Stats
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
We said: St Louis City 1-0 Minnesota United
It may have started as just a feel-good, fairy tale story, but at the moment St Louis appear to be a legitimate contender, showing consistency in the attacking third while possessing plenty of solid contributors.
Minnesota love to slow the game down to a crawl at times, and although that has kept them unbeaten, we expect the momentum and depth of St Louis will ultimately be too much for the Loons to handle.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 39.79% . A win for St Louis City had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.9% .
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.71%) . The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-0 (8.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%) . The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Minnesota United in this match.
Result St Louis City Draw Minnesota United 34.33% ( 0.06) 25.88% ( 0.01) 39.79% ( -0.07)
Both teams to score 54.4% ( -0.01)
50.15% ( -0.03) 49.85% ( 0.02)
28.15% ( -0.02) 71.84% ( 0.02)
72.22% ( 0.02) 27.77% ( -0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.64% ( 0.03) 63.35% ( -0.04)
75.32% ( -0.05) 24.68% ( 0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.79% ( -0.07) 59.21% ( 0.07)
St Louis City 34.33%
Minnesota United 39.79%
Draw 25.87%
St Louis City Draw Minnesota United 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.33% 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% 0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 39.79%
How you voted: St Louis City vs Minnesota Utd
St Louis City
Draw
Minnesota United
15
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-24 12:43:31
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