Major League Soccer

Mar 12, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Allianz Field

Minnesota Utd
1 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Hlongwane (18')
Arriaga (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Reyes (49')
Nealis (36'), Casseres Jr (68'), Duncan (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Dallas 0-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, February 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-0 Nashville
Sunday, March 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Minnesota United 0-0 New York Red Bulls

The New York Red Bulls boast one of the tightest backlines in Major League Soccer, but they often struggle to find the net at the opposite end of the pitch, meaning that Struber's side are frequently involved in low-scoring matches. For that reason, we expect the Red Bulls to hold Minnesota United to a goalless draw at Allianz Field, as the Loons are also known for their stubbornness under Adrian Heath.

How to watch

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	New York Red Bulls
36.71% ( 0.14)	25.95% ( -0.05)	37.34% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 54.42% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.06% (

0.23)

49.94% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.07% (

0.21)

71.92% (

-0.21)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.59% (

0.19)

26.4% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.43% (

0.25)

61.57% (

-0.26)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.94% (

0.05)

26.05% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.9% (

0.08)

61.09% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 36.71%

New York Red Bulls 37.34%

Draw 25.95%

Minnesota United	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.71%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.34%