Major League Soccer
Sep 11, 2022 at 3am UK
Jeld-Wen Field
We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 Minnesota United
The status of Reynoso will be a major storyline heading into this encounter, but whether he plays or not, we would still back Portland to win this match, given the momentum they have heading into this weekend along with their ability to consistently elevate their play at the most opportune of moments.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 54.64% . A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.6% .
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.74%) . The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
Result Portland Timbers Draw Minnesota United 54.64% ( 0.16) 22.59% ( 0.01) 22.77% ( -0.17)
Both teams to score 57.1% ( -0.26)
57.47% ( -0.25) 42.52% ( 0.25)
35.07% ( -0.25) 64.93% ( 0.25)
84.51% ( -0.03) 15.49% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 55.62% ( -0.06) 44.38% ( 0.06)
67.56% ( -0.28) 32.43% ( 0.28)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.04% ( -0.32) 68.96% ( 0.32)
Portland Timbers 54.64%
Minnesota United 22.77%
Draw 22.59%
Portland Timbers Draw Minnesota United 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 54.64% 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.59% 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 22.77%
How you voted: Portland vs Minnesota Utd
Portland Timbers
Draw
Minnesota United
17
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-24 13:18:21
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