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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Mar 12, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
St Louis City

Portland
1 - 2
St Louis City

McGraw (3')
Zuparic (54'), Moreno (68'), McGraw (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stroud (45+1'), Hiebert (75')
Stroud (29'), Perez (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Portland
Saturday, March 4 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 3-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, March 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-2 St Louis City

We believe that this fixture will present goalscoring opportunities for both teams, as the two sides are susceptible to lapses in concentration at the back. Therefore, we think that this affair will end level, but will be a high-scoring matchup due to the nature of both sides.

How to watch

You can watch Portland Timbers vs. St Louis City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 58.67%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 20.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 1-0 (7.66%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSt Louis City
58.67% (0.35599999999999 0.36) 20.54% (-0.13 -0.13) 20.79% (-0.218 -0.22)
Both teams to score 61.47% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.55% (0.31999999999999 0.32)35.46% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.51% (0.353 0.35)57.5% (-0.346 -0.35)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.09% (0.20399999999999 0.2)11.91% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.74% (0.423 0.42)37.26% (-0.415 -0.41)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.79% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)30.22% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.62% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)66.38% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 58.67%
    St Louis City 20.79%
    Draw 20.54%
Portland TimbersDrawSt Louis City
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.92% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.78% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.68% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.07% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.2% (0.031 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.57% (0.035 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.03 0.03)
5-2 @ 0.94% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 58.67%
1-1 @ 9.17% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.6% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.54%
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.31% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.58% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 20.79%

How you voted: Portland vs Saint Louis City

Portland Timbers
30.8%
Draw
46.2%
Saint Louis City
23.1%
13
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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