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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Mar 12, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
St Louis City

Portland
1 - 2
St Louis City

McGraw (3')
Zuparic (54'), Moreno (68'), McGraw (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stroud (45+1'), Hiebert (75')
Stroud (29'), Perez (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Portland
Saturday, March 4 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 3-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, March 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-2 St Louis City

We believe that this fixture will present goalscoring opportunities for both teams, as the two sides are susceptible to lapses in concentration at the back. Therefore, we think that this affair will end level, but will be a high-scoring matchup due to the nature of both sides.

How to watch

You can watch Portland Timbers vs. St Louis City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 58.67%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 20.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 1-0 (7.66%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSt Louis City
58.67% (0.35599999999999 0.36) 20.54% (-0.13 -0.13) 20.79% (-0.218 -0.22)
Both teams to score 61.47% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.55% (0.31999999999999 0.32)35.46% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.51% (0.353 0.35)57.5% (-0.346 -0.35)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.09% (0.20399999999999 0.2)11.91% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.74% (0.423 0.42)37.26% (-0.415 -0.41)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.79% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)30.22% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.62% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)66.38% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 58.67%
    St Louis City 20.79%
    Draw 20.54%
Portland TimbersDrawSt Louis City
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.92% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.78% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.68% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.07% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.2% (0.031 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.57% (0.035 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.03 0.03)
5-2 @ 0.94% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 58.67%
1-1 @ 9.17% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.6% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.54%
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.31% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.58% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 20.79%

How you voted: Portland vs Saint Louis City

Portland Timbers
30.8%
Draw
46.2%
Saint Louis City
23.1%
13
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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