Portland Timbers fared better than their opponents last season and certainly boast the quality to return to the top end of the Conference, particularly with the addition of Evander, and we fancy them to make a winning start at home to Sporting Kansas City this weekend.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 55.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portland Timbers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portland Timbers.