Major League Soccer

Oct 9, 2022 at 10pm UK

Rio Tinto Stadium

Salt Lake
3 - 1
Portland

Savarino (19'), Rubin (48'), Davis (82')
Rubin (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Asprilla (87')
Ayala (27'), Blanco (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, October 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 1-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, October 2 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: Real Salt Lake 1-1 Portland Timbers

Real Salt Lake have struggled in recent matches, and so we do not think they will be able to turn this form around in the last game of the season. Portland Timbers are in decent form, and should be good enough to get the vital point needed to secure a place in the playoffs, in what will be a cagey affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt Lake	Draw	Portland Timbers
55.41% ( 0.02)	22.87% ( -0)	21.72% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.7% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.98% (

0.02)

45.02% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.63% (

0.01)

67.37% (

-0.01)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.89% (

0.01)

16.11% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.49% (

0.02)

45.51% (

-0.02)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.2% (

34.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.47%

71.53% (

Score Analysis

Real Salt Lake 55.41%

Portland Timbers 21.72%

Draw 22.87%

Real Salt Lake	Draw	Portland Timbers
1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.34% 3-1 @ 6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 55.41%	1-1 @ 10.8% 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.87%	0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.04% Total : 21.72%