Major League Soccer

Sep 15, 2022 at 2.15am UK

Austin FC Stadium

Austin
3 - 0
Salt Lake

Djitte (60', 76', 80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

Last Six:

Last Game: Salt Lake 0-0 DC United
Sunday, September 11 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Portland Timbers	31	3	45
3	Real Salt Lake	30	0	43
4	Los Angeles Galaxy	29	3	40

We said: Austin FC 2-1 Real Salt Lake

The Verde and Black are especially deadly on their home field, scoring 18 goals in their last five matches played at Q2 Stadium. Regardless of how healthy Driussi is, we expect their backline will not be too troubled by an RSL attack who are not nearly as potent or dynamic as Austin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 56.36%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 22.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Real Salt Lake
56.36% ( -1.18)	21.44% ( 0.05)	22.2% ( 1.13)

Both teams to score 60.33% (

1.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.1% (

1.26)

37.9% (

-1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.84% (

1.34)

60.16% (

-1.33)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.63% (

0.06)

13.37% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.73% (

0.12)

40.27% (

-0.12)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.64% (

1.73)

30.36% (

-1.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.44% (

2.01)

66.56% (

-2.01)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 56.36%

Real Salt Lake 22.2%

Draw 21.44%

Austin FC	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.47) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.68% Total : 56.36%	1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.44%	1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.9% Total : 22.2%