Major League Soccer

Aug 27, 2022 at 1am UK

Austin FC Stadium

Austin
4 - 1
Los Angeles

Fagundez (32'), Urruti (47', 51'), Driussi (59')
Urruti (39'), Fagundez (39')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Arango (61')
Segura (30'), Crepeau (40'), Murillo (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Austin FC 2-2 Los Angeles FC

These sides have fought hard throughout the year as both have been neck and neck in a variety of statistical categories. We anticipate a hotly contested battle with plenty of chances on both ends, and given the quality that each side possesses, at least a couple of those chances should find the back of the net, though we do not expect either to hold onto a lead for long. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 37.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.18%) and 0-2 (5.12%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Los Angeles FC
37.96% ( -0.99)	23.07% ( -0.21)	38.97% ( 1.21)

Both teams to score 65.09% (

0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.82% (

1.08)

36.18% (

-1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.71% (

1.18)

58.29% (

-1.17)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.45% (

0.02)

19.55% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.54% (

0.02)

51.46% (

-0.02)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.91% (

1.03)

19.09% (

-1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.3% (

1.68)

50.7% (

-1.67)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 37.96%

Los Angeles FC 38.97%

Draw 23.06%

Austin FC	Draw	Los Angeles FC
2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.33% Total : 37.96%	1-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.06%	1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.48% Total : 38.97%