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Major League Soccer
Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2022 at 1am UK
Austin FC Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Austin
3 - 4
NY Red Bulls

Driussi (45', 69'), Finlay (81')
Felipe (4'), Ring (57')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ngoma (14'), Yearwood (26'), Harper (51'), Barlow (65')
Klimala (21'), Harper (48'), Edwards (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

Last Six:
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Austin
Sunday, July 17 at 2am in Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls

Last Six:
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-1 NY City
Sunday, July 17 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 3-1 New York Red Bulls

 Given the way New York defend, so deep in their own zone, we expect the Verde and Black to have their share of quality scoring opportunities, and they know better than most in MLS how to find the back of the net. The Red Bulls are fantastic in transition, but Austin are pretty good at defending, and can count on the splendid goalkeeping of Brad Stuver, who has made several key saves throughout the year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
43.56% (2.003 2) 25.35% (-0.216 -0.22) 31.08% (-1.783 -1.78)
Both teams to score 55.05% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.48% (0.341 0.34)48.52% (-0.338 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.35% (0.309 0.31)70.65% (-0.307 -0.31)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (1.112 1.11)22.23% (-1.11 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34% (1.646 1.65)55.66% (-1.644 -1.64)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79% (-0.998 -1)29.21% (0.999 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.84% (-1.244 -1.24)65.16% (1.247 1.25)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 43.56%
    New York Red Bulls 31.08%
    Draw 25.35%
Austin FCDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.184 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.215 0.22)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.372 0.37)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.251 0.25)
3-0 @ 3.68% (0.3 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.08 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.147 0.15)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.154 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 43.56%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 7.99% (-0.341 -0.34)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-2 @ 4.92% (-0.355 -0.36)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.207 -0.21)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 31.08%

How you voted: Austin vs NY Red Bulls

Austin FC
75.5%
Draw
9.4%
New York Red Bulls
15.1%
53
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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